8 maggio 2010

Serie B

Mantova – Modena 1 @ 1.75 10/10

Fundamental match for Mantova, a failure here could mean a real danger of to be relegated. The situation is not the optimal to play this crucial match, in fact 4 players had noticed the management for the salary still not arrived.
Thanks to the last win against Salernitana, Mantova overcame 3 teams in a single shoot and now they are for the first time after a long negative period very closed to come out from the play out zone.
The initial line up is still far to be announced also because in the latest days a lot of players has given as doubtful but for the moment seems that only Pellicori will be out due an injury, on the contrary Tarana and Grauso should be available.
As regarding Modena, their season could be considered closed due the quiet position and the enough advantage from the relegation battle: six points from Mantova but the good performance against Cittadella allow us to consider the survival in this league as a made thing.
Pinardi, injured, Gianpà and Luisi, both suspended, are the absences for Modena tomorrow.
I consider an Home win as a good choice

Ascoli – Lecce Over 2.5 @ 2.41 7/10
Ascoli – Lecce 1DNB @ 2.11 3/10

Lecce could close the promotion issue in this match, a win here and favourable combination of results from other match (i.e. if both Sassuolo and Brescia without win) put them at first place with enough advantage on the third to avoid the play off.
Lecce is in great form, they are running like a train in this season, they are in positive series in the last ten matches and don’t seem furnish any signal of fatigue, rather in the last match they had recovered a goal of disadvantage and had a lot of chances to close definitively the match.
They are strong in each sector of the field and, in spite their forwards are far from the leader of goalscorer, Lecce has scored more than 1.5 goals per match.
If we have to find a point of weakness in this team I think that the defensive line is a little bit under the standard of the other sector, Lecce in fact conceded 44 goals until now and, with this number on the han, they have the worse average of goal conceded between the first six teams (all the teams involved in the promotion zone).
Ascoli is another time very closed to the play off zone and the tentation to muck up the Lecce plans is, in my opinion, very strong for them. A win here will mean a lot both as regarding the mood and for the table. The disadvantage from the play off zone is 4 points but the target is not impossible to conquest.
Pillon will have some trouble to solve as regarding the absences but nothing of exceptional.
I think that Ascoli can score at least a goal to Lecce as Lecce can score at least a goal to Ascoli so my idea is an Over here … and I want to add also an Home win very low stake.

Grosseto – Piacenza 1 @ 1.91 10/10

Grosseto can’t leave point here against Piacenza if they want to continue to fight for the promotion. After a long run after to this sixth position they now want to stay here but the misery of a single point kept in the last two rounds are a very poor plunder.
Piacenza will play this match with nothing to ask to this season, 4 draws in the latest 5 matches is a clear signal. For this match, as in the last rounds, Ficcadenti will have to reinvent his line up in fact will miss for sure Greco, Cani and Serena for suspension.
Considering the other matches still to play Grosseto doesn’t seem to have the easier between all teams involved in the fight for a place in the play off.
This round could the right one to try to gain a little bit of advantage.
My idea is an home win here.

Other match interesting but without a decent offer from books are, in my point of view:

Brescia - Ancona 1
Gallipoli - Crotone Over


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