20 settembre 2008

20.09.2008 h 15:00 Serie B

Albinoleffe – Avellino 2(0:1.5)AH 4/10

Albinoleffe is, now, the same team that we saw in the first part of the last year, when they collected six win in the beginning seven matches. The coach Madonna, that sit on their bench until the last year’s play off, is doing an excellent job here. In this first three matches Albinoleffe played good football, based on a solid 4-4-2, and against Parma they brushed the perfection stopping one of the strongest team in this serie B.
Avellino, as I had occasion to say more than once in the past, has been built in a few days without a clear technical structure. Last week Avellino grab the first point in this season, to be honest, they deserved luckier but the opponent goalkeeper was insurmountable. The recent joining by De Zerbi from Napoli gave to Avellino a major technical thickness but I don’t believe that an unique player can change the Avellino destiny.
For Albinoleffe Coser,Peluso,Cristiano and Madonna should be still out while Cellini and Serafini are still doubtful
For Avellino Pecorari, Ciotola and Di Cecco will miss the match
Albinoleffe is in a good moment, they score easier while Avellino have still huge troubles but during the last week some positive signs arrived from Avellino and considering also that Albinoleffe played in the midweek I don’t exclude a surprise. So for me I find that Over can be a most profitable bet here (I put also a little stake on the AW with handicap 0:1)

Brescia – Ascoli 1 10/10
For Brescia this season had to be the last year in the Italian serie B. Good players joined an almost competitive team during the summer, one for all Morfeo but until now Brescia have collected only draws. Also in the last match against Treviso Brescia wasn’t able to overcome the opponent after having conduct the match for the majority of the time, they seem to have too many pressure on the neck. Cosmi is in a dangerous position tought the President Corioni continues to say that the coach will remain on the bench. Ascoli started the season in anonymous way, in the last home match they shared the points with Triestina after having scored for the first but they were not able to close the match conceding the goal to Triestina. Ascoli have a good team, in the attack line there are two strong and experienced players like Bucchi and Soncin, in the defensive sector the name of Taibi is a guarantee. For this match all players will be available for Ascoli while Brescia won’t have Caracciolo and Bega in the offensive sector.
Ascoli is an hard customer for Brescia but “rondinelle” is in a must win situation, three points after three matches are not enough to continue to hope promotion.
Brescia can win this match and I take an Home win with a little handicap. Another good bet for this match is an Over ( I expect an 2-1 here)

Grosseto – Parma 2(0:0)AH 4/10

Grosseto started the season in very good way two wins in a row but last week they have been trashed for 4-0 by Sassuolo. The result speaks clear, no ciance for Grosseto, they failed completely the match. This year Grosseto want finish in the middle table position and for this reason in the summer they built an interesting team with good players like Cordova, Innocenti, Stendardo and Consonni. In my point of view they have a good team starting from midfield to attack line but there is still something missing in the defensive line.
Parma lost against Albinoleffe in the middle week match, they controlled the match for the entire 90 minutes but they were not able to produce good goals actions.
Parma now have to repeat the samematch played against ANcona and also against Rimini in the opening match when they created a huge number of goals’ opportunities but their stickers have to be more accurate and hit the goal.
CAgni wants to change his team’s module and try an alternative tactic in the attack line to score more often.
I don’t think Parma will lose again and I keep them with Handicap

A derby here between Pisa and Livorno. The atmosphere around this match is a little bit strange, in fact only the subscribers could attend to the match but in the recent days the Livorno organised supporters announced their absence.
In the last match Livorno failed again the win after having scored with Tavano they left the conduction of the match to their opponent conceding the draw’s goal. Acori, Livorno’s coach, will have all players available, only Terranova will miss the match. For the match the unique changes respect the last line up should be the coma back of Grandoni and the return of Diamanti. For Ventusa the situation is a little bit complicated in fact Joelson suspended and Alvarez will miss for this match.
I think that Livorno is the strongest team here and they will win the match

Triestina SAssuolo 2(0:0.25)AH 4/10

Triestina in these first three round of the championship stopped both Ascoli and Bari, two candidates for the final promotion, on their own field while overcome Avellino for 3-1. The football of this team is very simple but at the same time very effective. Against Bari and Ascoli they defended also with ten men but they were able to take advantage fom the counter attack.
Granoche in the attack line is a guarantee in term of goals scored but the real strength of this team is in the midfield, in my opinion, in fact the midfielder are able to change a defensive action in an offensive one.
Sassuolo is the real surprise for this beginning of the season, they won two matches in a row after the neginning defeat against Salernitana. They scored 7 goals, all in the internal matches against Grosseto and Pisa, and conceded only 2.
This match will represent for them an important test, in fact this will be the second match far from their stadium.

Triestina will face Sassuolo with some important absences, in fact Della Rocca, Eliakwu and Granoche will miss the match. For Sassuolo only Girelli and Piccioni won’t be on the field.
The probable lines up could be:

Triestina (4-4-2): Agazzi - Cacciatore,Cottafava,Minelli,Rullo - Antonelli Agomeri,Allegretti,Gorgone,Testini - Ardemagni,Figoli
Sassuolo (4-3-3): Bressan - Rea,Anselmi,Andreolli,Donazzan - Fusani,Magnanelli,Salvetti - Erpen,Zampagna,Noselli

Triestina won only against Avellino, Sassuolo is in a good moment and fo me they can grab at least a point here so 2ah is my choice.

Rimini Empoli 1
Frosinone Treviso 1

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